Dallas County 2012 Municipal Elections

Categories: Political Commentary • Published on March 29, 2012 at 7:23 PM

While everyone’s attention seems to be focused on either the Presidential or Primary elections, Dallas County will have quite a few non-partisan elections on May 12th. Early voting will begin April 30th to May 8th. You can find a list of Early Voting Locations using this link to the Dallas County’s Elections Department.

The majority of the mayoral and city council elections are for small towns and suburbs that form the outline of Dallas County. Cities with municipal elections on the 2011 ballot include Addison, Balch Springs, Carrollton, Cockrell Hill, Coppell, DeSoto, Duncanville, Farmer’s Branch, Garland, Glenn Heights, Grand Prairie, Highland Park, Hutchins, Irving, Lancaster, Mesquite, Sachse, Seagoville, Sunnyvale, University Park, and Wilmer. These municipalities range in size from large cities such as Grand Prairie and Irving to towns that encompass little more than a single voting precinct like Cockrell Hill.

I won’t be going into too much detail for each race in every town, and am focusing on two hot areas of contention. Read More

2012 Dallas County Candidate Update

Categories: Political Commentary • Published on February 8, 2012 at 9:28 PM

While speculation and bargaining continue for how the 2012 maps for Congress, State Senate, and State House will look, I wanted to take some time to look at the contested Democratic Primary races in Dallas based on current filings. Once the maps are finalized, I will post another article discussing changes we get when the filing period reopens for a brief period of time.  It should also be noted that this article will be discussing only races contained solely within Dallas County and not any statewide or multi-county campaigns.  All tables in this article are sorted by Contributions in descending order. Read More

The Fallacy of Polls and Republican Primary

Categories: Political Commentary • Published on January 1, 2012 at 11:20 PM

2012 Rep Nominee

Intrade.com max ratings for candidates being 2012 Rep Nominee

Now that the New Year is upon us and the Iowa Caucus is only two days away, I thought it would be a good time to examine the volatility and danger that polls can present to candidates.  The attached chart shows the maximum percentage of likelihood that each candidate would be the 2012 Republican nominee.  These data come from the futures market site Intrade.com, and track each candidate from Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2011.  These numbers show the maximum percentage that each candidate received each month.  It should be noted that December can be deceiving for Newt Gingrich.  Gingrich spiked for about two weeks before collapsing back to normal levels.  During this spike, Romney also experienced an equal drop in likelihood of being the nominee. Read More